Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 3.170949 3.545286 3.950628 4.422877 4.958872 5.549353 6.250545
2024-10-27 2.498058 2.968051 3.512421 4.192099 5.021545 6.005315 7.267111
2024-11-03 2.171544 2.702155 3.349222 4.201643 5.302819 6.687840 8.578264
2024-11-10 1.976899 2.555248 3.291201 4.305140 5.679407 7.496644 10.113811
2024-11-17 1.799669 2.401842 3.196203 4.333267 5.939457 8.157775 11.506777
2024-11-24 1.655599 2.272610 3.112813 4.357069 6.180970 8.800843 12.929719
2024-12-01 1.533748 2.159164 3.035515 4.373900 6.403204 9.425261 14.381569
2024-12-08 1.396937 2.010394 2.891788 4.274920 6.435856 9.759319 15.408894
2024-12-15 1.299744 1.909925 2.807690 4.253468 6.578140 10.266354 16.758357
2024-12-22 1.209397 1.811558 2.717141 4.210926 6.677972 10.707812 18.038360
2024-12-29 1.178066 1.800247 2.757604 4.377114 7.128529 11.764200 20.498877
2025-01-05 1.112809 1.730246 2.699398 4.375371 7.294303 12.348503 22.174499
2025-01-12 1.042686 1.649036 2.619609 4.334990 7.397181 12.846193 23.778280
2025-01-19 0.941877 1.510845 2.436580 4.102828 7.139678 12.669748 24.065220
2025-01-26 0.895077 1.458917 2.393421 4.110677 7.315491 13.307890 26.042951
2025-02-02 0.868445 1.438884 2.402443 4.211336 7.671013 14.320679 28.917052
2025-02-09 0.831741 1.398746 2.373210 4.238703 7.888003 15.082980 31.358452
2025-02-16 0.797297 1.360085 2.343488 4.261909 8.097552 15.849466 33.908347
2025-02-23 0.764478 1.322026 2.311909 4.278328 8.293768 16.606547 36.536820
2025-03-02 0.718254 1.256740 2.225965 4.181750 8.249176 16.847666 37.988255
2025-03-09 0.685846 1.214723 2.180300 4.160817 8.359259 17.432065 40.339721
2025-03-16 0.653087 1.170042 2.126628 4.119306 8.421085 17.914447 42.503345
2025-03-23 0.647576 1.176320 2.170739 4.281462 8.940094 19.488253 47.679813